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00:00:00 – 00:37:38
The video focuses on the "One Shot One Kill" trading model for short-term trading, emphasizing the importance of deep foundational knowledge and the application of multiple analytical tools and strategies. Key points include mastering concepts like the Power 3, ICT kill zones, and PD array matrices for accurate timing in price movements. The instructor underscores the necessity of understanding macro conditions, seasonal trends, and Commitment of Traders (COT) reports, particularly for instruments like the Euro Dollar.
The process involves several steps: determining quarterly market shifts, analyzing higher time frames using IPTA ranges, assessing interest rate differentials, and leveraging inter-market analysis. The video details the creation of visual data representations using CFTC data to track commercial traders' positions, which help confirm market biases. The importance of aligning seasonal tendencies and commercial behavior with technical analysis is stressed to enhance prediction accuracy.
Practical examples, especially related to the Euro and Dollar pairs, illustrate these principles. The speaker explains how price movements are influenced by inter-market activities and highlights specific levels and scenarios using Fibonacci targeting and liquidity pools. Emphasis is placed on adaptive decision-making, blending conceptual knowledge with empirical data, and the cumulative benefits of revisiting educational materials to refine trading strategies.
00:00:00
In this part of the video, the instructor details the “One Shot One Kill” trading model for short-term trading, explaining the extensive prerequisites required for successful execution. Key topics covered include understanding macro conditions, data ranges, and PD array matrix concepts for both time and price. Proficiency in position trading, swing trading, and short-term trading concepts from the ICT website is crucial. The Power 3 concept, intraday trading concepts, the day-of-week high/low pattern, Fibonacci targeting, ICT kill zones, seasonal changes, and Commitment of Traders (COT) analysis are also highlighted. The segment emphasizes the importance of prior knowledge from free tutorials and the ICT mentorship content. The instructor promises a more detailed module on COT analysis and commercial hedging programs, showcasing its application with a high-probability setup example for the Euro-Dollar.
00:05:00
In this part of the video, the speaker outlines the “one shot one kill” trade procedure, emphasizing the importance of having a solid foundational knowledge and the value of mentorship in mastering trading concepts. The process includes several steps:
1. Determine the current or potential next quarterly shift for the market, using the euro-dollar as an example.
2. Identify higher time frame PD arrays and IPTA data ranges.
3. Analyze interest rate differentials and market profiles, assessing whether related markets are trending or consolidating.
4. Scout for seasonal opportunities that present high odds of market moves.
5. Conduct swing analysis on higher time frames down to the 60-minute chart to classify price swings, including impulse and expansion swings.
6. Anticipate specific weekly profiles and market templates that support bearish ideas, such as identifying the high of the week scenarios.
7. Observe market maker manipulation templates to find the premium and discount ranges in price action.
8. Wait for volatility signals that indicate high odds of range expansion.
9. Refer to the Commitment of Traders (COT) reports and open interest to confirm smart money actions.
10. Frame low resistance liquidity runs for bullish trends and sell short at a premium PDA for bearish trends, using Fibonacci levels that converge with logical discount PDAs.
The speaker emphasizes the modular approach to learning and applying trading procedures through a comprehensive mentorship program.
00:10:00
In this part of the video, the speaker confirms trade setups for the Euro Dollar using inter-market analysis. The trade setup, termed “one shot one kill,” highlighted expectations for a high around the 1.0908 level and a projected low of 1.0650, with the actual price movements closely aligning with these projections. The narrative emphasizes the importance of seasonal tendencies, akin to sports schedules, which suggest a directional bias for market movements. For March, the Euro Dollar was expected to decline, and this bias was corroborated by the Commitment of Traders (COT) hedging program. The speaker also mentions creating a zero-sum line based on commercial activity, although no specific indicators for this method are available.
00:15:00
In this part of the video, the speaker discusses their manual method of creating visual data representations of market positions, specifically for the Euro and cable currency pairs. They highlight the importance of tracking commercial traders’ net positions over the last 12 months using the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) data. The speaker details how commercial traders, composed of entities like banks and manufacturers, report their net positions weekly, which the speaker then graphs to identify whether these traders are net long (bullish) or net short (bearish). They mention the seasonal tendencies in hedging and its impact on identifying significant market moves. As an example, they describe how commercials were selling aggressively during a Euro rally, indicating a probable decrease in Euro prices.
00:20:00
In this part of the video, the speaker discusses the application of seasonal tendencies and commercial trader behavior in examining market movements, specifically focusing on the euro dollar and the dollar index. They emphasize the importance of not solely relying on seasonal tendencies or commercial trader data, as these need to align with technical analysis to be effective. The speaker outlines how to utilize charts to identify market conditions and potential trends, referring to past weekly highs, discount PD arrays, and different levels such as mitigation blocks. They predict potential movements in the dollar index, mentioning the significance of liquidity pools, order blocks, and fair value gaps that need to be monitored for trading strategies.
00:25:00
In this part of the video, the presenter explains the concept of premium and discount ranges relative to the equilibrium price point using the PD array Matrix. This visualization helps traders synchronize with algorithmic trading logic. The discussion moves to the Euro Pound and Dollar Index, illustrating how inter-market analysis supports trading decisions. The focus is on how movements in the Euro Pound and Dollar Index influence the Euro Dollar. The presenter notes significant trading activities, such as the Euro Pound’s sell-off, indicating weakness in the Euro Dollar and strength in the Pound Dollar. The Euro Dollar opened with a gap on Sunday, traded higher on Monday, and reached a weekly bearish order block. The expectation is set for the week’s price action to determine the high, likely on Monday, with a cautious approach for potential peaks on Tuesday or Wednesday.
00:30:00
In this segment of the video, the speaker discusses a trading strategy employed on Monday, focusing on the euro dollar and its price movements. The strategy involves looking for a price rise followed by an intraday retracement during the London session and subsequent expansion through the New York session. By measuring the swing from the London high to the low before the New York rally with a Fibonacci tool, the speaker identified key levels, such as 109.09 and 109.08.
The speaker elaborates on how these levels help in projecting the weekly high and emphasizes the importance of integrating various analytical tools like time of day and specific measurements. They mention that Monday’s rally was misleading, engineered for heavy selling at a premium to less informed traders.
Shifting focus to the euro dollar on a four-hour chart, the speaker explains the PD array (premium-discount array) and highlights the significance of liquidity voids, old highs, bearish order blocks, and other factors contributing to the trend. They stress blending conceptual knowledge with practical experience and adaptive decision-making throughout the week to navigate potential market reversals and avoid being misled by initial assessments. The ultimate goal is to build a mental library of past experiences to improve future trading accuracy.
00:35:00
In this segment, the speaker discusses the benefits of blending information to achieve near-perfect market analysis, demonstrated by being only one pip off from the high of the week and five pips from the low. The speaker emphasizes the importance of revisiting lessons and tutorials to develop proficiency and advises reviewing all materials after completing the mentorship program. The significance of adopting a top-down approach for different trading disciplines— from position trading to scalping—is highlighted, with the process requiring significant effort and decision-making. The segment concludes by asserting that the tutorials and strategies provided can be instrumental in enhancing a trader’s skills.