This summary of the video was created by an AI. It might contain some inaccuracies.
00:00:00 – 00:13:57
The video explores seasonal tendencies in foreign exchange (FX) trading, focusing on pairs like Australian dollar vs. US dollar, New Zealand dollar, Euro dollar, British pound, US dollar vs. Swiss franc, and US dollar vs. Japanese Yen and Canadian dollar. By analyzing historical data and seasonal trends, traders can identify potential high probability trading opportunities based on contrasting price actions. Emphasizing the importance of blending macro perspective with seasonal tendencies, the video suggests monitoring specific calendar months for optimal trade plays and incorporating these insights into daily trading routines across different trading disciplines for sustainable moves in the market.
00:00:00
In this segment of the video, the speaker discusses ideal seasonal tendencies and higher time frame analysis for foreign exchange (FX) pairs. They emphasize that seasonal tendencies are historical roadmaps and not guaranteed outcomes. By comparing seasonal tendency charts for the Australian dollar and US dollar index, the speaker identifies the most diametrically opposed price actions to determine high probability trading opportunities. The strongest seasonal tendency for the Australian dollar futures is to rally from March to May, while the dollar index typically declines during this period. This creates a qualified ideal scenario for the Australian US dollar pair to rally due to the currency construction of the pair. Traders should monitor the rise in Australian dollar futures prices compared to lower prices on the dollar index for potential trading opportunities in a bullish market.
00:03:00
In this segment of the video, the focus is on analyzing seasonal tendencies for trading the New Zealand dollar, Euro dollar, and British pound against the US dollar. For the New Zealand dollar Futures Contract, there is a typical rally in March and April, with a high in May and a subsequent sell-off at the same time of the year. The Euro dollar tends to form a seasonal low between June and July, coinciding with a high in the dollar Index. The British pound shows a tendency to make a low in March and a high in May. The analysis emphasizes long-term setups based on historical data supporting these seasonal trends, but it notes that these trends may not occur every year.
00:06:00
In this segment of the video, the speaker discusses the seasonal tendencies in the market for the British pound, US dollar versus Swiss franc, and dollar versus Japanese Yen. They highlight that the British pound is in a long-term uptrend expecting higher prices in March and April with seasonal lows. The contrast between 40 years and 15 years of data shows strong historical patterns. For the dollar Index, there is a seasonal tendency for a summer high in June/July, while the Swiss franc tends to form a low in the same period. The speaker suggests trading opportunities based on these seasonal trends in relation to the market conditions of each currency pair.
00:09:00
In this segment of the video, the speaker discusses the seasonal tendencies for the US dollar and Japanese Yen, as well as the US dollar and Canadian dollar pairs. They mention that the US dollar tends to form a high in March/April and a low in May, while the opposite is seen for the Japanese Yen and Canadian dollar. The speaker suggests selling the US dollar against the Japanese Yen when in a downtrend, and selling the US dollar against the Canadian dollar when bearish on the dollar index or bullish on the Canadian dollar. Emphasizing that understanding seasonal tendencies can guide trading decisions in relation to these currency pairs.
00:12:00
In this part of the video, the speaker discusses how blending the downtrend of the dollar with the uptrend of the Canadian dollar, along with seasonal tendencies, can help identify when the highest probability for a big move in the market occurs. It is emphasized to prioritize these seasonal tendencies in trading strategies, noting specific calendar months with the highest probability for trade plays. The importance of incorporating macro perspective and seasonal tendencies in daily trading routines is highlighted for identifying sustainable moves. The video stresses the significance of consistently referencing and utilizing these seasonal tendencies across different trading disciplines, such as swing trading and short-term trading, for various currency pairs.